Hurst Trading Forecast Software Hurst's diamond notation clearly shows the position of cycle troughs About Hurst Cycles JM Hurst was an American engineer who, in the 1960s and 70s, was the first researcher to use the power of the modern.
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- Sep 28, 2019.
To find the best time to enter a trade in the direction of the trend, you need an objective instrument that helps you measure cycles accurately. The best you can realistically hope for is to develop a tool that puts the odds on your side. It won't give you perfect certainty, but it can give you a probability scenario that favors you.
The stochastic indicator isn't a timing tool
The stochastic indicator,created by Dr. George Lane, is an oscillator that's actually designed to measure momentum, not cycles. More specifically, it measures the current closing price in relation to its price range over a defined period of time in the past. The most common period of defined past time is 14 bars.
The indicator assumes that markets with upward momentum tend to close near the highs and that markets with downward momentum tend to close near their lows. The indicator is a bounded indicator in that the mathematic formula of the indicator allows it to reach a maximum value of 100 and a minimum value of 0.
In other words, the indicator never goes above a reading of 100 or below a reading of 0, no matter how much the market it's measuring moves up or down.
The stochastic indicator is comprised of two lines:
The %K line measures the value of the stochastic calculation. In the figure, %K is the thin line that moves faster.
The %D line is a three-period exponential moving average of %K. In the figure, %D is the slower, thick line.
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The indicator also has two horizontal lines that are usually placed at the values of 20 and 80, indicating oversold and overbought areas, respectively.
You can get a sense of the cycles in the market by looking at the highs and lows of the oscillations of the indicator. The crossing of %K above and below %D also helps to visually identify the cycle highs and lows.
However, if you study a large sample of market data and look at the indicator in relation to price movement, you'll notice that it's often a bit late. Also, in strongly trending markets, it doesn't locate as many cycle highs and lows as you may like.
The following figure provides an example of how the traditional settings of the stochastic indicator can produce few cycle high and low signals when the market is trending.
Optimizing the timing tool for optimal entries
The solution to turning the stochastic oscillator into a cycle indicator that gives you more opportunities to buy and sell is to simply shorten the time it measures by changing the inputs of the indicator. The default settings you have on your charting software may vary. Here are the recommended settings:
Period D (%D): 3
Kubota diesel engine operations manual. Period K (%K): 5
Smoothing (Average): 2
The result of these changes is to simply create more highs and lows on the indicator so that instead of measuring long-term momentum, the indicator measures short-term oscillations in the market.
Shortening the parameters of the indicator clearly creates more instances where the indicator reaches overbought and oversold levels, thus potentially providing more buy and sell signals.
Software Based on Bradley Cowan's
Award Winning Books
and WD Gann Techniques
(Windows XP thru 10 - No Mac Without Emulator)
Available as Download
Owners of Four-Dimensional Stock Market Structures and Cycles set of 2 books receive a $100 discount. Owners of Cowan's 4-book course receive a $200 discount. E-Books have the same discount. For discounts to apply the buyer's name must be on file with us as having purchased the course from Stock Market Geometry.
CycleTimer comes with a very generous policy of 3 licenses. This means purchase of CycleTimer allows the user to replace his computer and receive a new license. Or, install CycleTimer on a second computer and save the third license in case one computer crashes or is replaced. Licenses #4-6 can be purchased for $300.
Just a few of the things added to Version 2
- Intraday Analysis With Midheaven, Ascendant, ARMC
- Topocentric and Barycentric
- WD Gann's Price by Degrees
- WD Gann's 'Mean of Five' and 'Cycle of Eight'
- North Node, South Node, Perihelion (Perigee), Aphelion (Apogee) of All Bodies
- Ephemeris
- Aspectarian
- Transits with Orb of Influence
- Convert CSI, Metastock, TC2000 files to ASCII
- Workspaces Saved as XML Files
- Asteroids: Chiron, Vesta, Pholus, Pallas, Juno
- Speed of Light Correction (Can be 4+ hours for outer planets)
- Multiple Date Formats Including Julian and Non-USA
- Overlay Speed and Price-Degree On Same Chart
WD Gann Price by Degree
New additions to Version 2 include WD Gann's PricexDegree. This technique converts a planet's longitude to price and uses it as a support/resistance line. Gann explained this in his courses, which are reproduced on pages 84-86 of Rare Writings of WD Gann.
One of Gann's personal charts of May Soybeans is shown below as an example of how easy it is to plot Price by Degree using CycleTimer Intraday. Gann plotted Jupiter and Mars by hand on this chart. CycleTimer does it automatically.
High Resolution Ephemeris With Speed of Light Correction
Aspectarian
Intraday Analysis With Charts From 1 Minute to Monthly
Planetary Cycle Analysis Allows For Speed of Light Correction
The below descriptions are included from Version 1
because they are also found in Version 2.
Identify and Project Your Cycles in Seconds
By simply dragging your cursor to a top or bottom on your chart you can identify and project any planetary combination on your chart. The chart below shows the Mars cycle as it moves 90 degrees in the weekly DJIA. The spreadsheet on the top prints out the details.
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Ellipse Drawing Tool is the Easiest to Use and Most Versatile
Just click your mouse on a top or bottom and drag across your chart to easily draw an ellipse of any size and at any angle. When finished you can edit the location, size, angle, etc to fine tune it to your market data. Then clone that ellipse and drag it to other areas of your chart to identify the dominant price-time limits of your market data. Future movements are contained within the limits of the perimeter of these ellipses.
The chart below shows ellipses cloned in the daily DJIA. The first ellipse was drawn and all the others simply cloned and dragged to a top or bottom.
Multiple Charts Can Be Plotted in the Same Window
This allows you to plot many combinations of cycles. The chart below, on the left, shows two planetary cycles in soybeans that are described in Market Science. Plotted below these cycles is the speed of a third planet. A planet's speed reaches its extremes at perihelion and aphelion, the two points closest and furthest away from the sun. CycleTimer allows you to plot below your chart any combination of planets speeds added together or subtracted.
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Shown in the Chart Below:
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- Price-Time Vectors are quickly calculated by simply dragging your mouse.
- Ellipses can be drawn with any number of inner axes at equal angles.
- The inner and outer circles of ellipses can be included if desired.
Many more software features including:
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